Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.307686 0.358724 0.415775 0.484312 0.564476 0.655350 0.766298
2025-01-12 0.223424 0.289108 0.370659 0.479544 0.621448 0.800579 1.044636
2025-01-19 0.181578 0.252289 0.346616 0.482045 0.672224 0.930874 1.311266
2025-01-26 0.160363 0.236146 0.343353 0.506733 0.750711 1.103603 1.656572
2025-02-02 0.144070 0.223064 0.340633 0.529306 0.826520 1.280106 2.031380
2025-02-09 0.129476 0.209608 0.334378 0.544062 0.890545 1.445370 2.411307
2025-02-16 0.115689 0.195002 0.323653 0.549113 0.938232 1.589269 2.775601
2025-02-23 0.102811 0.179830 0.309541 0.545800 0.970244 1.709749 3.115424
2025-03-02 0.089992 0.162873 0.289944 0.529798 0.977017 1.786054 3.385523
2025-03-09 0.083825 0.156780 0.288299 0.545251 1.041878 1.973622 3.887308
2025-03-16 0.076610 0.147755 0.280085 0.547105 1.080907 2.117294 4.323834
2025-03-23 0.071309 0.141635 0.276416 0.556943 1.136231 2.298625 4.860765
2025-03-30 0.064038 0.130906 0.262870 0.546014 1.149635 2.400774 5.254424
2025-04-06 0.058175 0.122310 0.252556 0.540458 1.173690 2.528659 5.724803
2025-04-13 0.053817 0.116263 0.246646 0.543289 1.215836 2.700171 6.318057
2025-04-20 0.052095 0.115620 0.251961 0.571198 1.317175 3.015220 7.291787
2025-04-27 0.050257 0.114476 0.256011 0.596720 1.416459 3.338996 8.337095
2025-05-04 0.047870 0.111780 0.256256 0.613407 1.497120 3.630068 9.347238
2025-05-11 0.044920 0.107408 0.252136 0.619119 1.551854 3.865965 10.253493
2025-05-18 0.041639 0.101845 0.244564 0.615372 1.582413 4.045944 11.040723
2025-05-25 0.037825 0.094526 0.231929 0.597278 1.573699 4.124554 11.565001
2025-06-01 0.036361 0.092902 0.233062 0.614751 1.660989 4.466388 12.880945
2025-06-08 0.034192 0.089215 0.228585 0.616848 1.707062 4.703905 13.935491